Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027486 0.029475 0.031548 0.033872 0.036407 0.039094 0.042160
2025-06-29 0.023883 0.026668 0.029717 0.033313 0.037454 0.042089 0.047695
2025-07-06 0.021945 0.025268 0.029045 0.033679 0.039247 0.045763 0.054026
2025-07-13 0.020318 0.023972 0.028252 0.033676 0.040423 0.048615 0.059431
2025-07-20 0.019212 0.023149 0.027880 0.034045 0.041955 0.051882 0.065474
2025-07-27 0.018040 0.022125 0.027145 0.033846 0.042675 0.054080 0.070209
2025-08-03 0.017028 0.021216 0.026464 0.033623 0.043285 0.056102 0.074777
2025-08-10 0.016155 0.020417 0.025855 0.033419 0.043861 0.058056 0.079329
2025-08-17 0.015411 0.019734 0.025343 0.033290 0.044492 0.060079 0.084073
2025-08-24 0.014617 0.018938 0.024626 0.032820 0.044589 0.061316 0.087705
2025-08-31 0.013854 0.018140 0.023858 0.032221 0.044444 0.062159 0.090759
2025-09-07 0.013266 0.017550 0.023343 0.031940 0.044724 0.063617 0.094832
2025-09-14 0.012718 0.016996 0.022854 0.031678 0.045023 0.065132 0.099135
2025-09-21 0.012117 0.016340 0.022190 0.031119 0.044834 0.065871 0.102213
2025-09-28 0.011830 0.016116 0.022129 0.031446 0.046008 0.068804 0.109160
2025-10-05 0.011466 0.015763 0.021863 0.031440 0.046652 0.070910 0.114840
2025-10-12 0.011224 0.015575 0.021826 0.031779 0.047852 0.073985 0.122458
2025-10-19 0.010856 0.015184 0.021469 0.031596 0.048186 0.075623 0.127596
2025-10-26 0.010504 0.014805 0.021111 0.031390 0.048465 0.077170 0.132672
2025-11-02 0.010179 0.014452 0.020777 0.031203 0.048757 0.078745 0.137914
2025-11-09 0.009889 0.014142 0.020495 0.031084 0.049151 0.080514 0.143661
2025-11-16 0.009539 0.013728 0.020036 0.030652 0.048978 0.081246 0.147397
2025-11-23 0.009181 0.013287 0.019520 0.030101 0.048567 0.081510 0.150196